In my city of Miami, being fashionably late is a way of life. We head out after midnight for an evening on the town, and we show up after the first quarter of the big game! I’m sure you picked up on it if you tuned into the NBA Finals, there’s no secret why the Heat are “White Hot.” Fans and seats need to mesh so you can’t tell how many are in attendance. Conversely, in the sports betting world, being first to the draw is the only means of survival. Getting the best numbers, and ensuring the greatest possible value is the way a true sharp bettor can expose a sportsbook.
It’s extremely rare a sportsbook will subject itself to a bevy of heavy-hitters like the one in Las Vegas did about a week ago. That’s right, the Golden Nugget Casino opened it’s doors and welcomed every sharp, wiseguy, and big-money bettor it could with open arms. Even one east coast syndicate I speak with sent runners out west to get down on some early numbers too! Essentially, this is the one day a year where the Nugget has more sharps than “Joes” roaming it’s property.
The atmosphere is extremely peculiar, some guys will show up early and exchange information, while others like keeping a low profile. Those keeping a low profile will show up in sweatpants, hoodies, hats, and any other stitch of clothing you could deem vital for a 72-hour stakeout. Now, I’m sure you’re picturing a frenzy of men wearing baggy cotton swarming the betting window like fly’s on sh*t, but there’s strict procedures to be followed.
Here is an overview of what Golden Nugget sportsbook director Tony Miller set up. 105 College Football Game of the Year lines were posted (See Below). Lines opened at 12:00PM Pacific Time. $1,000 max bet per game. Only 3 bets can be made at ONE TIME. If you wanted to get down more action, then you had to go to the back of the line and wait your turn after your initial 3 bets. It was a highly organized set up, as it always is at the Nugget. Tony runs one of the best sportsbooks in the entire country.
Without further ado…The 2011-12 College Football opening lines!
NCAAFB WEEK 1: (Week Of September 3rd, 2011)
Tulsa @ Oklahoma (-21)
LSU @ Oregon (-3)
Boise State (-6) @ Georgia
Miami Ohio @ Missouri (-20.5)
SMU @ Texas A&M (-17)
Miami (-3.5) @ Maryland
NCAAFB WEEK 2: (Week of September 10th, 2011)
Missouri @ Arizona State (-3)
Alabama (-9) @ Penn St.
Mississippi St. @ Auburn (-3.5)
South Carolina (-3) @ Georgia
Notre Dame @ Michigan (-2)
BYU @ Texas (-7.5)
Utah @ USC (-8)
TCU (-6.5) @ Air Force
NCAAFB WEEK 3: (Week Of September 17th, 2011)
LSU @ Mississippi St. (-1)
Oklahoma (-3.5) @ Florida State
Oklahoma St. (-8) @ Tulsa
Michigan St. @ Notre Dame (-6)
West Virginia (-3) @ Maryland
Utah @ BYU (-2.5)
Tennessee @ Florida (-13.5)
Auburn @ Clemson (-1)
NCAAFB WEEK 4: (Week Of September 24th, 2011)
Missouri @ Oklahoma (-13)
Arkansas @ Alabama (-11)
LSU (-4) @ West Virginia
Tulsa @ Boise St. (-24)
Oklahoma St. @ Texas A&M (-6)
Notre Dame (-4) @ Pittsburgh
USC @ Arizona St. (-3)
San Diego St. @ Michigan (-8)
Florida State (-7) @ Clemson
NCAAFB WEEK 5: (Week Of October 1st, 2011)
SMU @ TCU (-12)
Alabama (-6) @ Florida
Arkansas @ Texas A&M (-2.5)
Auburn @ South Carolina (-7.5)
Nebraska @ Wisconsin (-2.5)
Mississippi @ Georgia (-3.5)
NCAAFB WEEK 6: (Week Of October 8th, 2011)
Oklahoma (-8) @ Texas
Florida @ LSU (-5.5)
Auburn @ Arkansas (-7.5)
Miami @ Virginia Tech (-7)
Arizona St. (-2) @ Utah
UCONN @ West Virginia (-13.5)
Air Force @ Notre Dame (-10)
Georgia (-3.5) @ Tennessee
Michigan (-4) @ NorthWestern
TCU (-6.5) @ San Diego St.
NCAAFB WEEK 7: (Week Of October 15th, 2011)
San Diego St. @ Air Force (-3)
Arizona St. @ Oregon (-11)
Oklahoma St. @ Texas (-3)
Florida (-1) @ Auburn
Michigan @ Michigan St. (-3.5)
South Carolina (-1.5) @ Mississippi St.
Utah @ Pittsburgh (-4)
LSU (-9.5) @ Tennessee
NCAAFB WEEK 8: (Week Of October 22nd, 2011)
Auburn @ LSU (-9.5)
Oklahoma St. @ Missouri (-2.5)
Wisconsin @ Michigan St. (-1)
USC @ Notre Dame (-4)
Maryland @ Florida St. (-16)
Air Force @ Boise St. (-20)
Tennessee @ Alabama (-21)
Penn State @ Northwestern (Pick’Em)
NCAAFB WEEK 9: (Week Of October 29th, 2011)
UCONN @ Pittsburgh (-10)
BYU @ TCU (-7)
Stanford (-2) @ USC
Missouri @ Texas A&M (-7.5)
North Carolina St. @ Florida State (-14.5)
Michigan St. @ Nebraska (-7.5)
Georgia @ Florida (-3)
South Carolina (-10.5) @ Tennessee
NCAAFB WEEK 10: (Week Of November 5th, 2011)
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma (-7.5)
LSU @ Alabama (-9)
South Carolina @ Arkansas (-4)
NorthWestern @ Nebraska (-12)
NCAAFB WEEK 11: (Week Of November 12th, 2011)
Alabama (-7) @ Mississippi St.
Oregon (-1) @ Stanford
TCU @ Boise St. (-13.5)
Miami @ Florida St. (-7.5)
Auburn @ Georgia (-4.5)
Florida @ South Carolina (-6)
Nebraska (-1) @ Penn St.
Texas @ Missouri (-2)
Notre Dame (-7.5) @ Maryland
Tennessee @ Arkansas (-14)
NCAAFB WEEK 12: (Week Of November 19th, 2011)
USC @ Oregon (-11)
Mississippi @ Arkansas (-9)
Nebraska (-1) @ Michigan
Boise St. (-17.5) @ San Diego St.
California @ Standford (-12)
NCAAFB WEEK 13: (Week Of November 26th, 2011)
Texas @ Texas A&M (-7)
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia (-6)
Arkansas @ LSU (-4.5)
Alabama (-8) @ Auburn
Notre Dame @ Stanford (-6.5)
Florida St. @ Florida (-1)
Penn St. @ Wisconsin (-7)
Maryland @ North Carolina St. (-6.5)
Michigan St. (3.5) @ NorthWestern
Georgia (-6.5) @ Georgia Tech
Mississippi @ Mississippi St. (-12)
Oregon St. @ Oregon (-14)
UCLA @ USC (-6.5)
Clemson @ South Carolina (-12)
NCAAFB WEEK 14: (Week Of December 3rd, 2011)
Oklahoma (-2) @ Oklahoma St.
That was all 105 games and their opening numbers posted by the Golden Nugget. The goal in betting these lines early is not only to get the best number and cash that bet, but set up potential “middle” situations. Wise guys and sharps have done their home work for months at this point, and are able to peg teams as being good or bad based on recruiting, returning players, coaching turnover, new systems, and other situations like revenge, home coming, and an abundance of other factors. You name it, it has been thought of and factored in when placing these early wagers.
For example, when we talk about “middle” situations, and cashing two bets — the goal is to find undervalued, and overvalued teams. Perception is EVERYTHING! Lets say Team A is -3 based on the opening lines above. Once the season rolls along and the perception of a team has changed based on actual results, Team A maybe -10 once the lines are released for games that particular week. You would then come back and bet Team B (their opponent) at +10. You have thus created yourself a 7-point middle which has crossed multiple key numbers. So for instance if Team A beats Team B 35-28, you have cashed two tickets! Team A -3, and Team B +10 in the very same game. Are you getting how this works?
Not always will this be the case, but if you have done your home work over the summer, and done it well, you will have created great money making opportunities. Our biggest opportunity last season was backing South Carolina -3 at home Vs. Tennessee. We pegged the Vols as being in for a down season, they would be coming off a physical battle the week prior against Alabama. It happened to be Home Coming weekend for the Gamecocks. Point being, the stars seemed to all align themselves! The line re-opened the week of the game with South Carolina being 17 point favorites! We had not only got the best of the number by 2 Touchdowns, but we also created a 14-point middle! That’s essentially being a married man and getting a free F*ck Marisa Miller pass! SC ended up winning the game 38-24, and we cashed two tickets.
I was able to do the same this year and get down on a bunch of these College Football Game of the Year lines at their early numbers. I have started sending out all of the games I bet to my Early Bird Football Picks Clients. So If you guys need any help, or have any questions for the upcoming season, feel free to contact me — If you are not on board early, you are going miss the best lines available, and you won’t be able to set yourself up for the middle situations previously discussed. If you want sports betting to pay you like a job, then start treating it like a job!
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