12/4 Free Pick: NFL

admin - Posted on 04 December 2011

Cowboys Vs. Cardinals @4:15pm
#370 Arizona Cardinals +4.5

This game got away from us early in the week, and that's why it missed our premium play cut. At 6.5 where it opened with the ability to buy it to 7 for .20 cents would've put it in our real house, but that doesn't change the reality that this is a good situation. Arizona welcomes back Kevin Kolb this week, so that should be a boost to the passing game. Big targets like Fitzgerald give Dallas huge fits with the secondary being the weak chink in the armor. Regardless of the situation, Dallas plays to their competition whether high or low. They have a huge division game on deck next week with the Giants coming to town, which will likely decide the NFC East division. We'll go back to Dallas playing to the level of their competition, because for nearly a decade we've been cashing tickets on them as a dog, and fading them as a favorite -- and that hasn't changed in recent future. The Cowboys are 3-12-1 against the spread their last 16 games as a favorite, and 2-5-1 in that same situation this season. This feels like a field goal type game, so I'll roll with the home dog to keep up with Americas team.

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